I think that will come close, but fall short.
The idea that the GOP could prosper by offering up candidates like the ultra conservative and divisive Darryl Issa is a fantasy. These conservatives backed by the tea party and libertarians do quite well in their conservative house districts. But in general, extreme candidates fair poorly in statewide elections.
An interesting wrinkle is the Senate race in Kansas. Kansas is a deep red state that has not sent anyone but a Republican to the Senate since Christ was a corporal.
The idea that the GOP could lose Kansas wasn't even on the radar. But Sen. Pat Roberts is quite unpopular. In red State Kansas that usually wouldn't matter, and although he only garnered 36% support in a recent poll, that 36% led the polls in a three-way race including a Democrat and an Independent.
But then the Democrat dropped out. The polling now shows the independent, Greg Ormon leading Roberts by a substantial margin. The election is still five weeks off and the GOP is pouring everything into support for Roberts. He may well make a comeback but his unpopularity, even among Republicans is making it difficult for him.
This race took a fascinating turn when Kris Kobach, Kansas Secretary of State, tea party favorite and crafter of the "papers please" Arizona immigration law and many of the voter suppression laws across the nation entered the fray.
He refused to let the Democratic candidate take his name off the ballot, claiming the paperwork was filled out incorrectly. It took a unanimous ruling by the Kansas State Supreme Court to force him to allow the Democrat to withdraw.
He then ordered the Democratic Party to put up another candidate. The Dems laughed and said he had no power to order them to do anything, and they had no intention of putting up a candidate – since the only hope of defeating Roberts was to stay on the sidelines.
So Kobach went back to the courts to demand they be forced to do so. That is now under advisement. He really wants a Democrat in the race to improve Roberts chances.
http://news.yahoo.com/lawsuit-could-scramble-kansas-senate-race-again-140205844--election.html
Just one race, to be sure, but if the GOP loses what was assumed to be a totally safe seat, it will make taking control of Congress even more difficult.