Can someone point me to where the terms and bits under negotiation have actually been made public? Everyone is talking about how this is pure greed on Amazon's part, but all I can find that we actually know, without leaning on private blogs and such is that they're fighting over the Agency model vs Wholesale model.
We don't know the exact terms of the dispute, no.
What about the greed on the Publisher's part? I mean, it's not like the publishers are going to work together and use the Agency model to fix prices or anything, right? It's not like we have evidence they've already banded together in the past to set author royalties low and prices high.
Weeell, not quite. We don't have any evidence of a conspiracy to suppress royalties. It's certainly true that no publisher really wants to set a precedent with agents for higher royalties, because there's not a whole lot of margin to work with in book publishing, and what goes around comes around; but there's no evidence of formal collusion.
On pricing, the Agency model was a bit of a no-brainer for anybody in a Big 6/5 firm looking at a book P&L. The analysis would go: publishers needed to cover their costs, and Amazon wasn't going to keep swallowing their huge discounts forever. If the price of a Kindle novel went to 99p, there's no point in publishers even making most ebook editions available - they'd lose money - and it'd probably start cutting into print sales in unwelcome ways. So protect the margin now, at a sustainable level, by putting the retail price back in the publisher's control.
I do not feel this was an unreasonable position by any means. The DoJ disagreed strongly and at length, and eventually prevailed. I suspect it didn't help that prominent publishers rather blithely discussed this not-terribly-outre strategy with each other in corporate email, for heaven's sake; but I think it was likely a bunch of people having the same pretty obvious idea at the same time, with Apple as a catalyst in that that was their business model already.
This is business. Not bullying. If this was any kind of legitimate bullying, Hachette would probably have legal ramifications to use against Amazon and the DOJ would probably be involved, like they were a few years ago when they investigated the Big 5 and found them and Apple all guilty of collusion.
I wasn't very impressed with that decision, and at least one defendant settled because they apparently didn't have the resources to continue to fight it. The Big 5 are big, but they are nowhere near as big as Amazon, even collectively. This is a situation in which Goliath stomps David and then David has to kind of slink off.
I'll put this to you, what would you prefer? Selling three copies at $3.99 each, or one copy at $11.99? Because that's what it's really going to come down to for the authors.
This implies a neat equation in favour of your argument: you're begging the question.
Hachette really has no bargaining power in this, and the fact that Amazon is even still negotiating is surprising. After all, Amazon doesn't even have to have an agreement to sell Hachette books. They can sell used copies and even sell new ones through it's own subsidiaries. Hachette, on the other hand, can't really afford to lose visibility to 1/3rd of the current market. Making this whole ordeal just a show.
"Amazon could just cut author royalties to zero, so Hachette should just roll over" seems like a counsel of despair for authors.
The only thing Hachette has in it's corner is that it is, itself, a subsidiary of a multi-billion international group, Lagardere. So it's not like Amazon is the big dog in the room. Compared, Amazon is actually the smaller of the two. So what Hachette does have in its corner is the ability to reach out in a public relations campaign, which we can all see, is exactly what its doing.
Lagardere is about a quarter of the size of Amazon in terms of assets and a third of the size in terms of equity; Amazon has twice as much operating income. Amazon's stock price is an order of magnitude higher, and it is a long way to being a monopsony for everything Hachette publishing companies produce.
And on Lagardere's size in relation to Hachette: if any of the (many) Hachette companies in any of its (many) territories starts looking like an unprofitable business, Lagardere can and will dispose of it. Massive corporate behemoth Pearson started to feel Penguin wasn't something they wanted, not too long ago, and effectively sold it.